Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.250891 0.290571 0.335933 0.391939 0.459655 0.539423 0.641294
2025-08-31 0.185284 0.234298 0.296748 0.383452 0.502792 0.664425 0.905470
2025-09-07 0.153838 0.207294 0.281064 0.393076 0.563930 0.823633 1.266786
2025-09-14 0.128605 0.181590 0.259201 0.385418 0.594217 0.942993 1.610629
2025-09-21 0.112985 0.165981 0.247670 0.388748 0.639768 1.097261 2.075158
2025-09-28 0.100220 0.152181 0.235795 0.387852 0.676285 1.244987 2.592710
2025-10-05 0.092255 0.144529 0.232163 0.399708 0.738276 1.461252 3.370686
2025-10-12 0.085149 0.137120 0.227481 0.408229 0.795405 1.686882 4.304817
2025-10-19 0.078957 0.130345 0.222696 0.415286 0.851023 1.929623 5.449591
2025-10-26 0.074326 0.125667 0.220942 0.427934 0.922594 2.241239 7.054474
2025-11-02 0.069296 0.119595 0.215564 0.431690 0.973995 2.520717 8.796639
2025-11-09 0.064521 0.113422 0.209083 0.431683 1.015999 2.792314 10.784726
2025-11-16 0.059852 0.107041 0.201550 0.428414 1.050385 3.063624 13.126901
2025-11-23 0.055351 0.100531 0.192956 0.421190 1.072533 3.309044 15.693226
2025-11-30 0.052833 0.097721 0.191890 0.432463 1.153344 3.816907 20.647347
2025-12-07 0.049098 0.092022 0.183736 0.423968 1.170522 4.087333 24.547508
2025-12-14 0.046597 0.088652 0.180403 0.427728 1.229536 4.576440 31.271746
2025-12-21 0.044022 0.084868 0.175648 0.426726 1.272555 5.026194 38.912486
2025-12-28 0.042537 0.083297 0.175903 0.440041 1.372362 5.836736 53.173356
2026-01-04 0.040940 0.081319 0.174923 0.449617 1.462518 6.679806 71.754286
2026-01-11 0.039370 0.079252 0.173471 0.457551 1.550110 7.597239 96.870237
2026-01-18 0.038213 0.078016 0.173964 0.471779 1.670872 8.861501 138.375300
2026-01-25 0.036668 0.075737 0.171496 0.476006 1.750453 9.941550 186.991471